Tuesday, August 18, 2009

Forex Trading Systems

Forex trading systems are very popular as a method of investing money to make more money. Forex trading is all about putting your money into another currency for long or short term to earn more money. Many forex trading systems are based on how a stock exchange works. What you will find is that a forex trading system will permit you to invest at your currency rate, have your currency changed to another currency and then invest in a company that is foreign to your own country. A forex trading system is built upon worldwide investors, and worldwide companies, as well as world wide currencies. A forex trading system online A forex trading system online will give you the same results as a forex trading system offline, but you can access and see your money faster. You can invest, move, trade, and remove your money faster online with a forex trading system than you can offline, while you wait for paperwork to be completed. Forex systems are going to build wealth for investors who are willing to take the time to learn about their investments, and who are going to trust their brokers to make additional decisions. What type of forex trading system or broker should you trust? As with any investment company or trading system, you want to be able to trust who you are dealing with. If you can’t reach the forex trading system representative when you want by phone, by fax, in person, or even by email you are working with the wrong company. A company that uses forex trading systems and gives you opportunities to world wide investments should be able to communicate with you during various times of the business day. In addition, you want to work and invest with a forex trading system company that will put your money first, that will listen to what you want to do, and how you want to do it. Forex trading companies that are calling you all the time, that give you very little room to make decisions and that are considered to be pushy in your mind, is the forex trading systems company you should avoid doing further business with. Any investment company should realize you, as the consumer and end user for any trading system, should be able to take your time and learn about any investment before making that investment. If a forex trading system representative calls you and asks for large sums of money, that you need to get involved in this action right now, you should be suspicious. Any broker or forex trading consultant should give you time, and their best information, not demands on your time and money. Search for a forex trading system you are comfortable with before investing money.

About Brokers

Most clients eventually spend more cash on the market than they gain. Major causes of this phenomenon are the clients' low level of training, their emotional volatility, and lack of familiarity with foreign languages. The clients tend to not pay attention to the global events. Based on this fact, the "kitchen" method was born. Under this technique, the forex brokers take for granted that the client will lose money.
The forex broker acts as a liaison of the client to the forex market. The broker guides the client on the methods of trade. Just like a stock broker, a foreign exchange broker will provide technical analysis and research of the market situation. The information is supposed to increase the client's profit.
Financial companies are able to affect the
forex market the most due to high number of large transactions they do. Before the emergence of the Internet, banks were the only organizations with access to forex. Now, however, practically anyone can enter the market at any time through a broker.
A client picks a forex broker based on his own particular needs. For novices, one type of online firms, or houses, exists, which gives them comprehensive instructions on the use of the trading tools, as well as market studies. A new user can also trade using virtual money so as to not risk their actual capital. Other houses service practiced traders by giving them deeper research as opposed to trading directions. A trader tends to try a number of houses before making a decision.
"Setting the spread" is one of the ways how Forex dealers gain profit. The spread is the distinction between the price of bought and sold currency. Forex deals are performed with high leverage, at about 100, different from stocks. So if the dealer invests $1000 he or she controls $100,000, and can raise his benefit according to the sum. The so-called mini-Forex, used by many brokers makes possible for individuals to enter this market easily. The minimum deposit of mini-Forex is $100.
Three main orders are widely spread for entries. They are: Market orders, Stop orders, and Limit orders. You should check the dealer you will be working with for a list of the possible order types as not all of the orders are always easily available. Entering Forex market you usually try to entrust your capital to a professional, diligent and responsible Forex brokers, who will be your mediators. Using their broad experience and good knowledge these mediators do everything for making your capital grow - but surely not for free.

What is Forex

Foreign Exchange (FOREX) is the arena where a nation's currency is exchanged for that of another. The foreign exchange market is the largest financial market in the world, with the equivalent of over $1.9 trillion changing hands daily; more than three times the aggregate amount of the US Equity and Treasury markets combined. Unlike other financial markets, the Forex market has no physical location and no central exchange (off-exchange). It operates through a global network of banks, corporations and individuals trading one currency for another. The lack of a physical exchange enables the Forex market to operate on a 24-hour basis, spanning from one zone to another in all the major financial centers. Traditionally, retail investors' only means of gaining access to the foreign exchange market was through banks that transacted large amounts of currencies for commercial and investment purposes. Trading volume has increased rapidly over time, especially after exchange rates were allowed to float freely in 1971. Today, importers and exporters, international portfolio managers, multinational corporations, speculators, day traders, long-term holders and hedge funds all use the FOREX market to pay for goods and services, transact in financial assets or to reduce the risk of currency movements by hedging their exposure in other markets. MG Financial, now operating in over 100 countries, serves all manner of clients, comprising speculators and strategic traders. Whether it’s day-traders looking for short-term gains, or fund managers wanting to hedge their non-US assets, MG's DealStation™ allows them to participate in FOREX trading by providing a combination of live quotes, Real-Time charts, and news and analysis that attracts traders with an orientation towards fundamental and/or technical analysis.

Thursday, August 13, 2009

Dollar Reverses Course

A recent WSJ headline reads, Good Economic News Threatens the Dollar, and summarizes the Dollar’s trading pattern as follows: “Demand for the U.S. currency continues to erode amid a tide of more encouraging economic data and corporate earnings that have fed a thirst for riskier assets such as stocks, commodities, and growth-sensitive currencies.”
Less than two weeks after that article was published, the Dollar rose by a healthy 2% against the Euro in only one trading session, as US labor market conditions improved slightly: “The U.S. unemployment rate fell in July for the first time in 15 months as employers cut far fewer jobs than expected, giving the clearest indication yet that the economy was turning around from a deep recession.” While technically another 250,000 jobs were lost and economists forecast that the employment rate will rise past 10% before peaking, investor sentiment is still at a high.
Unsurprisingly, the news triggered a stock market rally. More noteworthy, though, is that the Dollar also rallied. Since the beginning of 2009 and especially since the beginning of March, there has been a clear negative correlation between stocks and the Dollar, as a result of risk appetite. “At one point this year, the correlation between the euro-dollar rate and the S&P 500 index hit 50 percent, according to BNP Paribas calculations. That is, the euro and S&P 500 rose or fell in tandem half the time.”
This latest development suggests that this relationship has broken down, at least temporarily. Argues one analyst, “The dollar’s going to turn. The U.S. economy is more able to withstand shocks than other economies, especially Europe.” Perhaps going forward, the markets will be driven less by risk appetite and more by comparative growth trajectories and economic fundamentals.
Not so fast, though. Much of the Dollar’s recent slide has been a product carry trading patterns, as investors borrow in low-yielding Dollars and invest in higher-yielding alternatives. An improvement in economic conditions could compel the Fed to hike rates, which would seriously dent the attractiveness of the carry trade. “Indeed, long-dated U.S. interest rates have been quietly moving in the dollar’s favor while U.S. interest rate futures on Friday started pricing in a federal funds rate of 1.25 percent by the mid-2010, the highest since June.” Based on this paradigm, then, it’s still risk appetite that’s driving the Dollar, whether up or down.

Fed To Hold Rates For The Near Team

Over the last week, the markets have been abuzz with chatter about how the US recession will soon come to and end, followed by a quick and healthy recovery. According to investor logic, the result would be a rise in inflation and interest rates. This optimism was partially deflated today, as the Federal Reserve bank conducted its annual monetary policy meeting.
Excluding a brief uptick in June (see chart below courtesy of the Cleveland Fed), investors had long come to expect that the Fed would leave its benchmark Federal Funds rate unchanged, at 0-.25%. At the same time, there was a strong belief that the Fed would begin to hike rates at the end of 2009, and comment accordingly in the press release that accompanied its monetary policy decision. Barron’s predicted yesterday: “The statement will acknowledge some improvement in the U.S. economy, though it will imply that this nascent growth reflected in recent gross domestic product reports is fragile and will be monitored closely. This will leave open the specter that interest rates could be increased at some point in the future.”

Sure enough, the Fed left rates unchanged, and its press release conveyed a restrained sense of hope that the worst of the recession is now behind us: “Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in June suggests that economic activity is leveling out. Conditions in financial markets have improved further in recent weeks…Although economic activity is likely to remain weak for a time, the Committee continues to anticipate…a gradual resumption of sustainable economic growth in a context of price stability.” The Fed also announced that its Treasury buying activities would soon come to an end, although it may continue to buy mortgage securities as part of its quantitative easing program.
Perhaps the tone of the press release was slightly less positive than investors would have liked, since interest rate futures dived immediately on the news. Especially compared to last week, investors are now assuming that it will be a while before the Fed actually hike rates: “At Wednesday’s settlement price of 99.655, the February fed-funds futures contract priced in about a 38% chance for a 0.5% funds rate after the late-January meeting. That’s down sharply from about a 60% chance at Tuesday’s settlement, about a 76% chance at Monday’s settlement, and about a 96% chance at last Friday’s settlement.” Analysis of options trading activity reveals that the large brokerage houses believe similarly.
As for the Dollar, it now seems possible that last week’s rally was premature. If the Fed isn’t prepared to hike rates anytime soon, then the current interest rate differentials between the US and the rest of the world will remain intact. More importantly, the Dollar will remain a viable funding currency for carry trades, and the shift of funds into higher-yielding alternatives will probably continue for the time being.

Tuesday, August 4, 2009

The Foreign Exchange Market

The foreign exchange market (currency, forex, or FX) trades currencies. It lets banks and other institutions easily buy and sell currencies.
The purpose of the foreign exchange market is to help international trade and investment. A foreign exchange market helps businesses convert one currency to another. For example, it permits a U.S. business to import European goods and pay Euros, even though the business's income is in U.S. dollars.
In a typical foreign exchange transaction a party purchases a quantity of one currency by paying a quantity of another currency. The modern foreign exchange market started forming during the 1970s when countries gradually switched to floating exchange rates from the previous exchange rate regime, which remained fixed as per the Bretton Woods system.
The foreign exchange market is unique because of
its trading volumes,
the extreme liquidity of the market,
its geographical dispersion,
its long trading hours: 24 hours a day except on weekends (from 22:00 UTC on Sunday until 22:00 UTC Friday),
the variety of factors that affect exchange rates.
the low margins of profit compared with other markets of fixed income (but profits can be high due to very large trading volumes)
the use of leverage